Iceland - Demographics

Demographics

Residents in Iceland by country of origin
(1 January 2012)
Iceland 298,618 93.44%
Poland 9,049 2.83%
Lithuania 1,605 0.50%
Germany 919 0.29%
Denmark 900 0.28%
Latvia 673 0.21%
United Kingdom 600 0.19%
Philippines 582 0.18%
Thailand 526 0.16%
United States 477 0.15%
Portugal 456 0.14%
Sweden 322 0.10%
France 295 0.09%
Norway 241 0.08%
Vietnam 221 0.07%
Spain 217 0.07%
China 210 0.07%
Italy 173 0.05%
Russia 166 0.05%
Netherlands 164 0.05%
Slovakia 161 0.05%
Romania 153 0.05%
Ukraina 142 0.04%
Czech Republic 140 0.04%
Hungary 139 0.04%
Estonia 111 0.03%
Finland 110 0.03%
Canada 109 0.03%
stateless 106 0.03%
others 1,990 0.62%
Total 319,575 100.00%
Total 20,957 6.59%

The original population of Iceland was of Nordic and Gaelic origin. This is evident from literary evidence dating from the settlement period as well as from later scientific studies such as blood type and genetic analyses. One such genetics study has indicated that the majority of the male settlers were of Nordic origin while the majority of the women were of Gaelic origin.

Iceland has extensive genealogical records dating back to the late 17th century and fragmentary records extending back to the Age of Settlement. The biopharmaceutical company deCODE genetics has funded the creation of a genealogy database which attempts to cover all of Iceland's known inhabitants. It views the database, called Íslendingabók, as a valuable tool for conducting research on genetic diseases, given the relative isolation of Iceland's population.

The population of the island is believed to have varied from 40,000–60,000 in the period ranging from initial settlement until the mid-19th century. During that time, cold winters, ash fall from volcanic eruptions, and bubonic plagues adversely affected the population several times. According to Bryson (1974), there were 37 famine years in Iceland between 1500 and 1804. The first census was carried out in 1703 and revealed that the population was then 50,358. After the destructive volcanic eruptions of the Laki volcano during 1783–84, the population reached a low of about 40,000. Improving living conditions have triggered a rapid increase in population since the mid-19th century—from about 60,000 in 1850 to 320,000 in 2008. Iceland has a relatively young population for a developed country, with one out of five people being 14 years-old or younger. With a fertility rate of 2.1, Iceland is one of only a few European countries with a birth rate sufficient for long-term population growth (see table on the left).

Population projection
(1 January)
Year Low Medium High
2012 319,575
2015 327,603 328,062 328,726
2020 343,134 345,066 348,288
2025 356,109 361,010 368,393
2030 366,122 375,256 388,182
2035 374,459 388,082 406,980
2040 381,363 399,724 425,110
2045 386,825 410,302 442,956
2050 390,756 419,860 460,689
2055 392,957 428,220 478,050
2060 393,261 435,106 494,529

In December 2007, 33,678 people (13.5% of the total population) living in Iceland had been born abroad, including children of Icelandic parents living abroad. Around 19,000 people (6% of the population) held foreign citizenship. Polish people make up the largest minority group by a considerable margin (see table on the right for more details), and still form the bulk of the foreign workforce. About 8,000 Poles now live in Iceland, 1,500 of them in Reyðarfjörður where they make up 75% of the workforce who are constructing the Fjarðarál aluminium plant. The recent surge in immigration has been credited to a labour shortage due to the booming economy at the time, as well as to the lifting of restrictions on the movement of people from the countries that were a part of the 2004 enlargement of the European Union. Large-scale construction projects in the east of Iceland (see Kárahnjúkar Hydropower Project) have also brought in many people whose stay is expected to be temporary. Many Polish immigrants were also considering leaving in 2008 as a result of the Icelandic financial crisis.

The southwest corner of Iceland is the most densely populated region. It is also the location of the capital Reykjavík, the northernmost national capital in the world. The largest towns outside the Greater Reykjavík area are Akureyri and Reykjanesbær, although the latter is relatively close to the capital.

Some 500 Icelanders under the leadership of Erik the Red colonized Greenland among the existing paleo-Eskimo inhabitants in the late 10th century. The total population reached a high point of perhaps 5,000 and developed independent institutions before disappearing by 1500. From Greenland the Norsemen launched expeditions to settle in Vinland, but these attempts to colonise North America were soon abandoned in the face of hostility from the indigenous peoples. Emigration to the United States and Canada began in the 1870s. Today, Canada has over 88,000 people of Icelandic descent, while there are more than 40,000 Americans of Icelandic descent, according to the 2000 US census.

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