Grand Strategy - Limits

Limits

Political scientist Richard K. Betts has detailed some of the critiques regarding the feasibility and practicability of strategy, explaining "o skeptics, effective strategy is often an illusion because what happens in the gap between policy objectives and war outcomes it too complex and unpredictable to be manipulated to a specified end." Beyond the difficulty of organizing resources for effective grand strategy, Betts explores both the retrospective fallacy of coherence - the tendency to see the actions of states as more coherent and purposeful than they actually were or to assume particular actions and choices as more decisive in the outcome of events than they actually were - and the prospective fallacy of control - the tendency of policymakers to believe they can exert far greater influence over events than they can.

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Famous quotes containing the word limits:

    Mathematics alone make us feel the limits of our intelligence. For we can always suppose in the case of an experiment that it is inexplicable because we don’t happen to have all the data. In mathematics we have all the data ... and yet we don’t understand. We always come back to the contemplation of our human wretchedness. What force is in relation to our will, the impenetrable opacity of mathematics is in relation to our intelligence.
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    In a virtuous action, I properly am; in a virtuous act, I add to the world; I plant into deserts conquered from Chaos and Nothing, and see the darkness receding on the limits of the horizon.
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    Now rest in peace, our patriot band;
    Though far from nature’s limits thrown,
    We trust they find a happier land,
    A brighter sunshine of their own.
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