Public Opinion
There have been a large number of polls conducted on support levels for Scottish independence. Professor John Curtice stated in January 2012 that polling shows support for independence at between 32% and 38% of the Scottish population. This has fallen somewhat since the SNP were first elected to become the Scottish Government in 2007. The research also shows, however, that the proportion of the population strongly opposed to independence has fallen significantly in recent years.
Polls show consistent strong support for a referendum, including amongst those who support the continuation of the union. Most opinion polls performed have a figure of in-principle support for a referendum around 70–75%.
Independence Opinion Polls
Poll source | Date | For Independence |
Against Independence |
Leading by % | Undecided | Sample Size* |
Margin of Error (MoE) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos Mori | October 2012 | 30% | 58% | 28 | 12 | 1,003 | |
Ipsos Mori |
June 2012 | 35% | 55% | 20 | 10 | 1,003 | |
Ipsos Mori |
January 2012 | 39% | 50% | 11 | 11 | 1,005 |
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“Public opinion is a weak tyrant compared with our own private opinion. What a man thinks of himself, that it is which determines, or rather indicates, his fate.”
—Henry David Thoreau (18171862)