The Method of Proofs and Refutations
Though the book is written as a narrative, an actual method of investigation, that of "proofs and refutations", is developed. In Appendix I, Lakatos summarizes this method by the following list of stages:
- Primitive conjecture.
- Proof (a rough thought-experiment or argument, decomposing the primitive conjecture into subconjectures).
- "Global" counterexamples (counterexamples to the primitive conjecture) emerge.
- Proof re-examined: the "guilty lemma" to which the global counter-example is a "local" counterexample is spotted. This guilty lemma may have previously remained "hidden" or may have been misidentified. Now it is made explicit, and built into the primitive conjecture as a condition. The theorem - the improved conjecture - supersedes the primitive conjecture with the new proof-generated concept as its paramount new feature.
He goes on and gives further stages that might sometimes take place:
- Proofs of other theorems are examined to see if the newly found lemma or the new proof-generated concept occurs in them: this concept may be found lying at cross-roads of different proofs, and thus emerge as of basic importance.
- The hitherto accepted consequences of the original and now refuted conjecture are checked.
- Counterexamples are turned into new examples - new fields of inquiry open up.
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