Marine Isotopic Stage 11 - Astronomical Features

Astronomical Features

Unlike most other interglacials of the late Quaternary, MIS 11 cannot be explained and modelled solely within the context of Milankovitch forcing mechanisms. According to various studies, the MIS 11 interglacial period was longer than the other interglacial stages; moreover, the sustained interglacial warmth lasted as long as it did, because the eccentricity was low and the amplitude of the precessional cycle diminished, resulting in several fewer cold substages during this period and also induced an abrupt climate change at MIS 12–11 transition, the most intense of the past 500 kyr. Noteworthy, MIS 11 developed just after one of the most “heavy” Pleistocene δ18O glacials (MIS 12). According to some Authors, MIS 12 is likely to represent a “minimum” within the 400-kyr cyclicity (which is apparently “stretched” into ca. 500-kyr cycles in the Pleistocene), same as the MIS 24/MIS 22 complex (ca. 900 ka; Wang et al., 2004). In support to this inference is the fact that these dramatic glacial intervals are coincident with periods of major climate reorganisation, namely the “Mid-Brunhes Event” (Jansen et al., 1986) and the “Mid-Pleistocene Revolution” (Berger & Jansen, 1994), respectively. Considering the variability in the astronomically-driven insolation, MIS 11 is the interval in which insolation is highly correlated with predicted near future situation. Using the 2-D Northern Hemisphere climate model to simulate climate evolution over MIS 11, MIS 5 and the future, it appears that climatic feature and length of MIS 11 are very similar to the present-future interglacial. This consideration may lead to the conclusion that actual interglacial period (begun 10 kyr) will continue for approximately 20-25 kyr.