Fred Gruen - Career Beginnings

Career Beginnings

Returning to Australia he worked for 12 years in the NSW Department of Agriculture where he met, assisted and was assisted by many young people who later made their marks in agricultural and other areas of economics. His sons David and Nicholas were born in August 1954 and April 1957 respectively. In 1959 he moved to a research position at the Australian National University (ANU) for five years under T.W Swan (of Solow-Swan growth model fame) and thence to Monash University to become Professor of Agricultural Economics in 1964.

Gruen's achievements in nine years at Monash include leading a major long range forecasting study on Australian agriculture funded by the US Department of Agriculture. Though John Freebairn subsequently tested its price projections for 1970 and found them "neither significantly more or less accurate than the naïve model price forecasts" the study achieved worthwhile technical advances which later contributed to the building of Australia's ORANI model mostly at Monash University.

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