Analytic Confidence

Analytic confidence is a rating employed by intelligence analysts to convey doubt to decision makers about a statement of estimative probability. The need for analytic confidence ratings arise from analysts' imperfect knowledge of a conceptual model. An analytic confidence rating pairs with a statement using a word of estimative probability to form a complete analytic statement. Scientific methods for determining analytic confidence remain in infancy.

Read more about Analytic Confidence:  Levels of Analytic Confidence in National Security Reports, Analytic Confidence's Origins and Early History, Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004 and Analytic Confidence, Mercyhurst College and Analytic Confidence

Famous quotes containing the words analytic and/or confidence:

    “You, that have not lived in thought but deed,
    Can have the purity of a natural force,
    But I, whose virtues are the definitions
    Of the analytic mind, can neither close
    The eye of the mind nor keep my tongue from speech.”
    William Butler Yeats (1865–1939)

    We simply must have faith in each other, faith in our ability to govern ourselves, and faith in the future of this Nation. Restoring that faith and that confidence to America is now the most important task we face.
    Jimmy Carter (James Earl Carter, Jr.)