Truncated Normal Distribution - Moments

Moments

Two sided truncation:

 \operatorname{Var}(X \mid a<X<b) = \sigma^2\left[1+\frac{\frac{a-\mu}{\sigma}\phi(\frac{a-\mu}{\sigma})-\frac{b-\mu}{\sigma}\phi(\frac{b-\mu}{\sigma})}{\Phi(\frac{b-\mu}{\sigma})-\Phi(\frac{a-\mu}{\sigma})}
-\left(\frac{\phi(\frac{a-\mu}{\sigma})-\phi(\frac{b-\mu}{\sigma})}{\Phi(\frac{b-\mu}{\sigma})-\Phi(\frac{a-\mu}{\sigma})}\right)^2\right]\!

One sided truncation (upper tail):

where and .

One sided truncation (lower tail):

where

Barr and Sherrill (1999) give a simpler expression for the variance of one sided truncations. Their formula is in terms of the chi-square CDF, which is implemented in standard software libraries. Bebu and Mathew (2009) provide formulas for (generalized) confidence intervals around the truncated moments.

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