Population Decline - Decline By Nation or Territory

Decline By Nation or Territory

A number of nations today, stretching from North Asia (Japan) through Eastern Europe, including Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Bulgaria, Georgia, Armenia, and into Central and Western Europe, including Bosnia, Croatia, Slovenia, Germany, Hungary, and now Italy now face long term population decline. Countries rapidly approaching long term population declines (but currently still growing, albeit slowly) include Greece, Spain, Cuba, Uruguay, Denmark, Finland, Portugal, Austria and Lesotho.

However, none of this decline is enough to significantly offset the world population explosion.

Many nations in Western Europe (and the EU as a whole) today would have declining populations if it were not for international immigration. The total population of the continent of Europe (including Russia and other non-EU countries) already peaked around the year 2000 and as of 2004 is falling.

AIDS plays some role in population decline; however, data available suggests that, even with high AIDS mortality, fertility rates in Africa are sufficiently high, so that overpopulation trends continue.

Table:1 Population Decline in Percent by Country (from various sources)
Country Year Population Rate of natural decrease
in percent		 Main reason for decrease
Albania 2012 2, 831, 741 0.456 emigration
Belarus 2012 9,542,883 0.362 low birth rate
Bosnia-Herzegovina 2012 4,622,292 0.003
Bulgaria 2012 7,037,935 0.796 low birth rate, high death rate, high rate of abortions, a relatively high level of emigration of young people and a low level of immigration
Cook Islands 2012 10,777 3.136
Croatia 2012 4,480,043 0.092 low birth rate
Czech Republic 2012 10,177,300 0.134 low birth rate
Cuba 2012 11,075,244 0.115 emigration, low birth rate
Estonia 2012 1,274,709 0.65 low birth rate
Germany 2012 81,305,856 0.2 low birth rate
Greece 2011 10,787,690 0.16 economic crisis
Hungary 2012 9,958,453 0.184 low birth rate
Italy 2012 60, 813, 326 0.09 low birth rate
Japan 2012 127,368,088 0.077 low birth rate and a low level of immigration
Latvia 2012 2,191,580 0.598 low birth rate
Lithuania 2012 3,525,761 0.278 low birth rate
Niue 2011 1,446 2.308
Northern Mariana Islands 2012 44,582 2.449
Federated States of Micronesia 2012 106,487 0.343 emigration
Moldova 2012 3,656,843 1.014 low birth rate
Northern Poland 2012 26,144,541 0.075 low birth rate
Portugal 2011 10,561,614 0.07 political crisis, economic crisis
Romania 2012 21,848,504 0.26 low birth rate, emigration
Russia 2012 143,200,000 0.48 high death rate, low birth rate, high rate of abortions, and a low level of immigration
Serbia 2012 7,276,604 0.464 high death rate, declining births
South Africa 2012 48,810,427 0.412 "white flight", high incidence of disease (HIV/AIDS)
Southern Poland 2012 12,393,906 0.075 low birth rate
Ukraine 2012 44,854,065 0.625 declining births

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