Popular Science Predictions Exchange

Popular Science Predictions Exchange

Popular Science Predictions Exchange (PPX) was an online virtual prediction market run as part of the Popular Science website. The application was designed by the same group behind the Hollywood Stock Exchange using their virtual specialist application. Users traded virtual currency, known as POP$, based on the likelihood of a certain event being realized by a given date. Stock prices would range between POP$0 and POP$100 and were intended to reflect the general confidence of the users about that event. A stock at price POP$95 would mean roughly that users believed there to be a 95% chance of the event happening. If an event was realized by the given date, the stock will pay out POP$100 per share. A stock that did not occur by the closing date was worth POP$0 per share.

On May 8, 2009, PopSci announced that the PPX exchange would close on May 31, 2009, almost two years after it first opened. At the time of the announcement, there were 33,339 registered users. The top 100 traders at the time of closing were listed in a hall of fame. Another news post on the site suggests that the site was planned to only have a two year run.

Read more about Popular Science Predictions Exchange:  General, Types of Trading, Contests, Types, Examples, Closed Stocks, Forums, Criticisms

Famous quotes containing the words popular, science, predictions and/or exchange:

    I am glad of this war. It kicks the pasteboard bottom in of the usual “good” popular novel. People have felt much more deeply and strongly these last few months.
    —D.H. (David Herbert)

    The latest refinements of science are linked with the cruelties of the Stone Age.
    Winston Churchill (1874–1965)

    The Brahmins say that in their books there are many predictions of times in which it will rain. But press those books as strongly as you can, you can not get out of them a drop of water. So you can not get out of all the books that contain the best precepts the smallest good deed.
    Leo Tolstoy (1828–1910)

    I can exchange opinion with any neighbouring mind,
    I have as healthy flesh and blood as any rhymer’s had,
    But O! my Heart could bear no more when the upland caught the wind;
    I ran, I ran, from my love’s side because my Heart went mad.
    William Butler Yeats (1865–1939)