Political Forecasting - Opinion Polls

Opinion Polls

Polls are an integral part of political forecasting. However, incorporating poll results into political forecasting models can cause problems in predicting the outcome of elections. There are a few ways in which inaccurate election forecasts can be avoided.

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Famous quotes containing the words opinion and/or polls:

    We can never be sure that the opinion we are endeavouring to stifle is a false opinion; and even if we were sure, stifling it would be an evil still.
    John Stuart Mill (1806–1873)

    The total collapse of the public opinion polls shows that this country is in good health. A country that developed an airtight system of finding out in advance what was in people’s minds would be uninhabitable.
    —E.B. (Elwyn Brooks)