Earthquake Prediction - Notable Predictions

Notable Predictions

These are predictions, or claims of predictions, that are notable either scientifically or because of public notoriety, and claim a scientific or quasi-scientific basis, or invoke the authority of a scientist. Earthquakes that did not occur are listed in red. To be judged successful a prediction must be a proper prediction, published before the predicted event, and the event must occur exactly within the specified time, location, and magnitude parameters. Question marks indicate predictions that are questioned, or are so broad (e.g., for most of the state of California) as to as to lose any value as a prediction. As many predictions are held confidentially, or published in obscure locations, and become notable only when they are claimed, there may be some selection bias in that hits get more attention than misses.

Earthquake prediction ... appears to be on the verge of practical reality....

— Scholz, Sykes & Aggarwal 1973

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