Delphi Applications Not Aiming At Consensus
Traditionally the Delphi method has aimed at a consensus of the most probable future by iteration. The Policy Delphi, launched by Murray Turoff, is instead a decision support method aiming at structuring and discussing the diverse views of the preferred future. The Argument Delphi, developed by Osmo Kuusi, focuses on ongoing discussion and finding relevant arguments rather than focusing on the output. The Disaggregative Policy Delphi, developed by Petri Tapio, uses cluster analysis as a systematic tool to construct various scenarios of the future in the latest Delphi round. The respondent's view on the probable and the preferable future are dealt with as separate cases.
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