Example
Suppose that somebody secretly rolls two fair six-sided dice, and we must predict the outcome.
- Let be the value rolled on die 1
- Let be the value rolled on die 2
What is the probability that ? Table 1 shows the sample space. in 6 of the 36 outcomes, so .
| + | B=1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A=1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
Suppose it is revealed that . Table 2 shows that for 10 outcomes. For 3 of these, . So the probability that given that is .
| + | B=1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A=1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
Read more about this topic: Conditional Probability
Famous quotes containing the word example:
“Our intellect is not the most subtle, the most powerful, the most appropriate, instrument for revealing the truth. It is life that, little by little, example by example, permits us to see that what is most important to our heart, or to our mind, is learned not by reasoning but through other agencies. Then it is that the intellect, observing their superiority, abdicates its control to them upon reasoned grounds and agrees to become their collaborator and lackey.”
—Marcel Proust (1871–1922)