Statement and Interpretation
Mathematically, Bayes' theorem gives the relationship between the probabilities of and, and, and the conditional probabilities of given and given, and . In its most common form, it is:
The meaning of this statement depends on the interpretation of probability ascribed to the terms:
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“Eloquence must be grounded on the plainest narrative. Afterwards, it may warm itself until it exhales symbols of every kind and color, speaks only through the most poetic forms; but first and last, it must still be at bottom a biblical statement of fact.”
—Ralph Waldo Emerson (1803–1882)