Ambiguity Aversion - A Framework That Allows For Ambiguity Preferences

A Framework That Allows For Ambiguity Preferences

Smooth ambiguity preferences are represented as:

  • s ∈ S set of contingencies or states
  • πθ is a probability distribution over S
  • f is an “act” yielding state contingent payoffs f (s)
  • u is a von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function and represents risk attitude
  • φ maps expected utilities and represents ambiguity attitude
  • Ambiguity attitude is summarized using measure similar to absolute risk aversion, only absolute ambiguity aversion:
  • μ is a subjective probability over θ ∈ Θ; Represents the ambiguous belief – it summarizes the decision-maker’s subjective uncertainty about the “true” πθ, probability distribution over contingencies. (Collar, 2008)

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