Leap2020

Leap2020

LEAP/Europe 2020 (Laboratoire Européen d'Anticipation Politique, English: also known as European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) is a think tank established to analyze and anticipate global economic developments from a European perspective and to publish a paid-subscription monthly economic forecast bulletin. It was founded in 1997 among others by Franck Biancheri, the founder of the European student network AEGEE (Association des États Generaux de l'Europe) and one of the few pan-European parties, Newropeans. LEAP/E2020 claims to be the first European website of anticipation, independent from any government or lobby.

Recently, LEAP/E2020 examined the possibility of a great depression similar to the breakdown of the stock markets in 1929, which is labeled "Global Systemic Crisis". Subscriptions for its monthly GEAB (Global European Anticipation Bulletin) cost 200 euros per year. This bulletin contains several anticipations, always signed by the LEAP research team, often six to twelve months ahead. They are publishing each month a public summary of their anticipations so it is very easy to observe their high success in anticipating major events in the Global Systemic Crisis. They are following a fully transparent and rigorous method they have created and described in the Manual of Political Anticipation. They are not always right about the dates : some anticipations were included a Euro/USD exchange rate of 1.75 by the end of the year 2008 and the inevitable default of the United States government on its treasury obligations by the summer of 2009. But they have announced the September 2008 financial breakdown and 2011 revolutions in Maghreb with high precision, among others.