2016 Summer Olympics Bids - Predicting Indices

Predicting Indices

Two websites, GamesBids.com and Around the Rings, feature predicting indices which specialize in evaluations of Olympic Games bids. They periodically release analysis of the candidates and assigns them a score between 0 and 100, or 0 and 110 respectively. The score produces a number that can be used to rate a bid relative to past successful bids - and possibly gauge its potential future success. GamesBids.com's scale is called BidIndex, AtR's is called the Power Index.

Table of unofficial predicting indices
Bidding city GamesBids
BidIndex
Around the Rings
PowerIndex
Baku (bid details) 36.43 ...
Chicago (bid details) 61.24 83
Doha (bid details) 53.46 ...
Madrid (bid details) 57.80 80
Prague (bid details) 37.17 ...
Rio de Janeiro (bid details) 61.42 84
Tokyo (bid details) 59.02 80

Both indice correctly predicted the winner, Rio de Janeiro, but failed to predict the poor showing of Chicago, which was the first to be eliminated from the final 4 as well as the strong showing of Madrid, who was the last contender against Rio.

Read more about this topic:  2016 Summer Olympics Bids

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