Non-probabilistic Variant
The logician Raymond Smullyan questioned if the paradox has anything to do with probabilities at all. He did this by expressing the problem in a way which doesn't involve probabilities. The following plainly logical arguments lead to conflicting conclusions:
- Let the amount in the envelope chosen by the player be A. By swapping, the player may gain A or lose A/2. So the potential gain is strictly greater than the potential loss.
- Let the amounts in the envelopes be X and 2X. Now by swapping, the player may gain X or lose X. So the potential gain is equal to the potential loss.
Read more about this topic: Two Envelopes Problem
Famous quotes containing the word variant:
“I am willing to die for my country is a variant of I am willing to kill for my country.”
—Mason Cooley (b. 1927)