Better Yet
A more complete treatment would consider all of the choices, not only the choices of high card from two equals. In the example spades suit, we must incorporate the choice of low card by West from ♠32 and from ♠Q32. The 2 and 3 are manifestly equivalent cards which West should play uniform randomly from both original holdings – that is, randomly on the first two tricks, always retaining the queen from ♠Q32. The preceding probability calculation depends on West doing so.
Read more about this topic: Principle Of Restricted Choice
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