Impact
Since in April 2006, current estimations about the number of contracted people under CNE since its implementation varied between 320 000 (ACOSS governmental numbers ) to 400 000 (Les Echos economical newspaper's numbers ). According to the IFOP, a poll company led by Laurence Parisot, the head of the MEDEF employers' union, 29% of the CNE jobs would not have existed without the CNE (which means between 106 000 to 133 000 jobs contracted under CNE wouldn't have been contracted otherwise for the first 7 months). This poll seems to be have been used to grounds Villepin's claim that "a third of the jobs" wouldn't have been created otherwise. But that contradicted the public institute INSEE (National Institute of Statistics)' estimation, according to which it would create at most 40 to 80 000 jobs for one entire year (about half of Villepin or the IFOP's numbers).
The highest figure was given by the Prime Minister de Villepin in May 2006, stating "almost 500,000 contracts" were signed.
Latest figures: in June 2006, Echos newspaper released a study about the CNE, the first one based on actual figures. According to those results:
- 440,000 CNE contracts had been signed from August 2005 to April 2006
- 10% (i.e. 44,000) of which were job that would have not been created without creation of the CNE.
- this 44,000 figures to be compared to the overall creation of (long term) jobs in France in the private sector for 2005, i.e.50,000. - over 11% of the contracts were cancelled (within the two-year probation period).
- there are more CNE cancelled by the employee (45%) than CNE cancelled by the employer (38%).
According to "Les Echos", this means the CNE alone created almost as much jobs within 10 months as private companies did for the whole year of 2005 (around 50,000)!
Read more about this topic: Contrat Nouvelle Embauche
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