Canadian Federal Election Results in Suburban Toronto - Regional Profile

Regional Profile

This region had traditionally been a mixed bag and a bellwether region. With the large proportion of immigrants in the region and the urban growth and densification, it became the Liberals' power base for almost two decades. From 1993 to 2008, Liberal candidates swept the region, making this region to the Liberals what Rural Alberta was to the Conservatives. In some ridings, the Liberals defeated their closest opponents by margins of 3-1 or more. Like all of the city of Toronto and most of the urban Greater Toronto Area, the New Democratic Party (NDP) had some pockets of support while the Conservatives barely registered on the radar screen. This changed in 2011, when a slight uptick in Conservative support, combined with vote splitting between the Liberals/NDP/Green parties allowed the Conservatives to take six seats in the region - including Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff's Etobicoke-Lakeshore - (nearly all by narrow margins(one by 26 votes)) and the national surge of NDP support allowed them to take two.

The Final Tally: Conservatives: 6, Liberals: 4, NDP: 2.

However, the Liberals lead slightly in terms of popular vote.

2004 election results in the City of Toronto
Party Central Suburban Pickering—
Scarborough
East (part)*
Total
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Liberal 234,018 50.9 276,372 57.5 12,451 60.4 522,841 54.4
New Democratic Party 125,218 27.3 64,146 13.3 2,424 11.8 191,788 20.0
Conservative 75,063 16.3 111,637 23.2 5,086 24.7 191,786 20.0
Green 21,548 4.7 14,762 3.1 640 3.1 36,950 3.8
Christian Heritage - - 2,592 0.5 - - 2,592 0.3
Progressive Canadian 531 0.1 1,931 0.4 - - 2,462 0.3
Marijuana 1,578 0.3 - - - - 1,578 0.2
Communist 480 0.1 469 0.1 - - 949 0.1
Marxist-Leninist 506 0.1 436 0.1 - - 942 0.1
Canadian Action 366 0.1 200 0.0 - - 566 0.1
Independents 169 0.0 8,348 1.7 - - 8,517 0.9
Total 459,477 480,893 20,601 960,971

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