Pre-election Predictions
A Newsnight poll by the analysts Rallings and Thrasher some days before the election predicted the following results for the English council elections:
Con 38% (Conservatives gaining 330 seats and losing 2% of the vote on 2006)
Lab 24% (Labour losing 500 seats and losing 2% of the vote on 2006)
LD 29% (Liberal Democrats gaining 110 seats and gaing 2% of the vote on 2006)
However, these predictions, as in 2006, were largely inaccurate, underestimating Conservative support and grossly overestimating the Lib Dems' performance. However, it did accurately predict the number of seats Labour would lose.
Read more about this topic: United Kingdom Local Elections, 2007
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