Tropical Cyclone Forecasting - Seasonal Forecast

Seasonal Forecast

See also: Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and Tropical cyclone#Long-term_activity_trends

By looking at annual variations in various climate parameters, forecasters can make predictions about the overall number and intensity of tropical cyclones that will occur in a given season. For example, when constructing its seasonal outlooks, the Climate Prediction Center in the United States considers the effects of the El NiƱo-Southern Oscillation, 25-40 year tropical cycle, wind shear over the oceans, and ocean surface temperature.

Read more about this topic:  Tropical Cyclone Forecasting

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