Stock Market Cycles - Theory

Theory

The four-year U.S. presidential cycle is attributed to politics and its impact on America's economic policies and market sentiment. Either or both of these factors could be the cause for the stock market's statistically improved performance during most of the third and fourth years of a president's four-year term.

The month-end seasonality cycle is attributed to the automatic purchases associated with retirement accounts.

The secular stock market cycles that last about 30 years move in lockstep with corresponding secular economic, social, and political cycles in the US.

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