Polling
Newspoll polling is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes consist of just under 900 electors, with the 14–18 March 2010 poll consisting of just under 1600 electors. The declared margin of errors are ± 3.5 percent and ± 2.5 percent respectively.
| Labor Rann |
Liberal Redmond |
|
|---|---|---|
| 14–18 Mar 2010 | 43% | 45% |
| Jan–Mar 2010 | 44% | 41% |
| Oct–Dec 2009 | 48% | 31% |
| Jul–Aug 2009 | 46% | 27% |
| Jan–Mar 2009 | 53% | 24%3 |
| Oct–Dec 2008 | 50% | 26%3 |
| Jul–Sep 2008 | 48% | 30%3 |
| Apr–Jun 2008 | 54% | 27%3 |
| Jan–Mar 2008 | 54% | 24%3 |
| Oct–Dec 2007 | 50% | 25%3 |
| Jul–Sep 2007 | 52% | 26%3 |
| Apr–Jun 2007 | 52% | 21%3 |
| Jan–Mar 2007 | 64% | 14%2 |
| Oct–Dec 2006 | 61% | 14%2 |
| Pre 2006 election | 63% | 21%1 |
| Pre 2002 election | 30% | 50%1 |
| Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. ^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. 1 Rob Kerin, 2 Iain Evans, 3 Martin Hamilton-Smith |
||
| Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | Lib | Nat | Dem | FFP | Grn | Oth | ALP | Lib | ||
| 2010 Election | 37.5% | 41.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 48.4% | 51.6% | |
| 14–18 Mar 2010 | 35.3% | 42.5% | < .5% | < .5% | 3.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 48% | 52% | |
| Jan–Mar 2010 | 36% | 39% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 12% | 50% | 50% | |
| Oct–Dec 2009 | 37% | 35% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 13% | 53% | 47% | |
| Jul–Aug 2009 | 41% | 33% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 56% | 44% | |
| Jan–Mar 2009 | 42% | 34% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 11% | 56% | 44% | |
| Oct–Dec 2008 | 39% | 35% | 1% | < .5% | 1% | 13% | 11% | 54% | 46% | |
| Jul–Sep 2008 | 38% | 40% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 50% | 50% | |
| Apr–Jun 2008 | 41% | 35% | 1% | < .5% | 2% | 12% | 9% | 54% | 46% | |
| Jan–Mar 2008 | 41% | 37% | < .5% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 53% | 47% | |
| Oct–Dec 2007 | 42% | 36% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 54% | 46% | |
| Jul–Sep 2007 | 48% | 33% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 59% | 41% | |
| Apr–Jun 2007 | 47% | 35% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 57% | 43% | |
| Jan–Mar 2007 | 48% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 61% | 39% | |
| Oct–Dec 2006 | 47% | 33% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 58% | 42% | |
| 2006 Election | 45.2% | 34% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 56.8% | 43.2% | |
| 15–16 Mar 2006 | 46% | 33% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 57% | 43% | |
| Jan–Feb 2006 | 44% | 37% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 54% | 46% | |
| Oct–Dec 2005 | 46% | 35% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 56% | 43% | |
| Jul–Sep 2005 | 45% | 38% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 54% | 46% | |
| Apr–Jun 2005 | 46% | 37% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 55% | 45% | |
| Jan–Mar 2005 | 45% | 40% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 53% | 47% | |
| Oct–Dec 2004 | 42% | 42% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 49% | 51% | |
| 2002 Election | 36.3% | 40% | 1.5% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 9.7% | 49.1% | 50.9% | |
| Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. |
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Read more about this topic: South Australian State Election, 2010