Self-Indication Assumption Doomsday Argument Rebuttal

The Self-Indication Assumption Doomsday argument rebuttal is an objection to the Doomsday argument (that there is only a 5% chance of more than twenty times the historic number of humans ever being born) by arguing that the chance of being born is not one, but is an increasing function of the number of people who will be born.

Read more about Self-Indication Assumption Doomsday Argument Rebuttal:  History, The Bayesian Inference of N From n Under The SIA, Significance of Omega, Remarks, SIA Intuition: The Lost-property Metaphor, Problems With The SIA

Famous quotes containing the words assumption, doomsday and/or argument:

    ... there is nothing more irritating to a feminist than the average “Woman’s Page” of a newspaper, with its out-dated assumption that all women have a common trade interest in the household arts, and a common leisure interest in clothes and the doings of “high society.” Women’s interests to-day are as wide as the world.
    Crystal Eastman (1881–1928)

    Even an attorney of moderate talent can postpone doomsday year after year, for the system of appeals that pervades American jurisprudence amounts to a legalistic wheel of fortune, a game of chance, somewhat fixed in the favor of the criminal, that the participants play interminably.
    Truman Capote (1924–1984)

    The difficult part in an argument is not to defend one’s opinion, but rather to know it.
    André Maurois (1885–1967)