Scottish Independence - Public Opinion

Public Opinion

There have been a large number of polls conducted on support levels for Scottish independence. Professor John Curtice stated in January 2012 that polling shows support for independence at between 32% and 38% of the Scottish population. This has fallen somewhat since the SNP were first elected to become the Scottish Government in 2007. The research also shows, however, that the proportion of the population strongly opposed to independence has fallen significantly in recent years.

Polls show consistent strong support for a referendum, including amongst those who support the continuation of the union. Most opinion polls performed have a figure of in-principle support for a referendum around 70–75%.

Independence Opinion Polls

Poll source Date For
Independence
Against
Independence
Leading by % Undecided Sample
Size*
Margin of Error (MoE)
Ipsos Mori October 2012 30% 58% 28 12 1,003

Ipsos Mori

June 2012 35% 55% 20 10 1,003

Ipsos Mori

January 2012 39% 50% 11 11 1,005

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