Scenario Planning - Process

Process

The part of the overall process which is radically different from most other forms of long-range planning is the central section, the actual production of the scenarios. Even this, though, is relatively simple, at its most basic level. As derived from the approach most commonly used by Shell, it follows six steps:

  1. Decide drivers for change/assumptions
  2. Bring drivers together into a viable framework
  3. Produce 7-9 initial mini-scenarios
  4. Reduce to 2-3 scenarios
  5. Draft the scenarios
  6. Identify the issues arising

Read more about this topic:  Scenario Planning

Famous quotes containing the word process:

    Science is a dynamic undertaking directed to lowering the degree of the empiricism involved in solving problems; or, if you prefer, science is a process of fabricating a web of interconnected concepts and conceptual schemes arising from experiments and observations and fruitful of further experiments and observations.
    James Conant (1893–1978)

    Thinking is seeing.... Every human science is based on deduction, which is a slow process of seeing by which we work up from the effect to the cause; or, in a wider sense, all poetry like every work of art proceeds from a swift vision of things.
    HonorĂ© De Balzac (1799–1850)

    come peace or war, the progress of America and Europe
    Becomes a long process of deterioration—
    Robinson Jeffers (1887–1962)