Basic Impact Calculus
There are three basic types of impact calculus that compare the impacts of the plan to the impacts of a disadvantage:
- Probability (one impact is more likely)
- e.g. Economic collapse is more probable than an outbreak of grey goo, therefore the risk of economic collapse outweighs the risk of a grey goo disaster.
- Timeframe (one impact will happen faster)
- e.g. An asteroid impact will cause extinction before Global warming will, therefore an asteroid impact outweighs Global Warming.
- Magnitude (one impact is bigger)
- e.g. Nuclear war kills more people than car accidents.
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