Dynamic Scoring - United States

United States

Some trace the philosophy back to President Kennedy, who in 1963 proposed to reduce the top marginal rate from 91% to 65%: "To achieve these greater gains, one step, above all, is essential--the enactment this year of a substantial reduction and revision in Federal income taxes." The methodologies of scoring have origins in Arthur Laffer's "Laffer Curve" (i.e. tax receipts vs tax rates) of the Reagan administration. Using dynamic scoring has recently been promoted by Republican legislators to argue that supply-side tax policy, for example the Bush tax cuts of 2001 and 2011 GOP Path to Prosperity proposal, return higher benefits in terms of GDP growth and revenue increases than are predicted from static scoring. Some economists argue that their dynamic scoring conclusions are overstated, pointing out that CBO practices already include some dynamic scoring elements and that to include more may lead to politicization of the department.

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