Bell's Law of Computer Classes - Computers Classes That Conform To The Law

Computers Classes That Conform To The Law

As of 2010, the computer classes include:

  • mainframes (1960s)
  • minicomputers (1970s) These are essentially replaced by clusters of PCs.
  • personal computers and workstations evolving into a network enabled by Local Area Networking or Ethernet (1980s)
  • web browser client-server structures enabled by the Internet (1990s)
  • web services, e.g. Microsoft's .NET (2000s) or the Grid
  • small form-factor devices such as cell phones and other cell phone sized devices (CPSD), e.g. BlackBerries, iPods, iPhones, Smartphones, and TrÄ“os (c. 2000)
  • Wireless Sensor Networks, aka motes (c. >2005)

As of 2005, Bell believes i.e. is betting that CPSDs will form a dominant computer class or platform measured by units and revenue. These evolve from the phone and PDA functions to include new "killer applications" yet to be determined. Furthermore, CPSDs will substitute for many PC's functions (e.g. email, web browsing). Use will evolve, with or without attachments (e.g. keyboards, displays for document creation, presentations), to include almost all of the PC's functions except large file stores for video content.

Beginning in the 1990s, a single class of scalable computers or mega-servers, built from clusters of a few to tens of thousands of commodity microcomputer-storage-networked bricks, began to cover and replace mainframes, minis, and workstations to become the largest computers of the day, or what is commonly called a supercomputer.

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