Average Treatment Effect - Estimation

Estimation

Depending on the data and its underlying circumstances, many methods can be used to estimate the ATE. The most common ones are

  • Natural experiment and the similar quasi-experiment,
  • Difference in differences or its short version: diff-in-diffs,
  • the Regression discontinuity design method,
  • matching method,
  • methods based on the theory of local IVs (in a strict sense regression discontinuity design belongs here as well)

Once a policy change occurs on a population, a regression can be run controlling for the treatment. The resulting equation would be

where y is the response variable and measures the effects of the policy change on the population.

The difference in differences equation would be

where T is the treatment group and C is the control group. In this case the measures the effects of the treatment on the average outcome and is the average treatment effect.

From the diffs-in-diffs example we can see the main problems of estimating treatment effects. As we can not observe the same individual as treated and non-treated at the same time, we have to come up with a measure of counterfactuals to estimate the average treatment effect.

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